This is an area where I will post different topics of discussion and elicit constructive feedback from people who visit my blog.
Thursday, May 22, 2008
Do the Brewers have any shot at the playoffs?
I don't follow sports at all so I am counting on all of you to let me on this. Give me a yes or no and why you believe so.
4 comments:
Anonymous
said...
No, because the division is playing much better than last year (and better thant it is supposed to this year from what the Sports Authorities were telling me) and they have just started to slow to really truly recover.
Yes, because they have way too much talent to be playing this badly. And we can always count on the Chicago Cubs for a full choke at the end of the year. Hopefully.
I think Ned Yost needs to give up this cool, calm and collected manager crap. Look at what just one managerial blow up does for a team: the Cubs last year after Piniella's blow up, and the White Sox this year after Ozzie Guillens blow up. Get at least some passion in the team.
I'd give them a 10% chance. It will only happen if at least 3/4 of the following occur:
-Prince Fielder wakes up and hits at least 30 more HR this year -Rickie Weeks gets his OBP above .350 -JJ Hardy finishes with an OPS over .750 -Ben Sheets wins 15 games -Eric Gagne returns and blows less than 5 more saves the rest of the way -The Brewers that are actually doing well (Hart and Braun) continue to produce -Parra, Bush, and Suppan all finish with an ERA of under 4.50 -Bill Hall hits 10 HR and 20 doubles to right field
Main point there: Eric Gagne. Worst. Pick up. Ever. Even if he somewhat redeems himself before the end of the year, $10 million? Are you serious?
With Gallardo out for the year (presumably at least, miracles could happen) they need to get in the market for a reliable starting pitcher ASAP.
As far as Suppan goes (who has also been a bust in my eyes), I think my cousins comments at a game last year that Suppan pitched until the 7th or 8th with a 6-1 lead (the Brewers lost 8-6 in extras) sums him up pretty well. There was a group of super cool kids all there together and one of the girls was looking pretty out of it. Glazed eyes. Standing there rocking back and forth. The hiccups. 6th inning: "Jesus, even Suppan is lasting longer than her."
Suppan was a good signing. From that free agent class, Lilly has outperformed him, but Zito has been horrible (who didn't see that coming). Furthermore, we also considered throwing $45 million at Jeff Weaver, who is now putting up horrible numbers for our AAA team after Seattle paid him $8 million last year.
Suppan was great down the stretch last year and was one of the key reasons that we managed to recover and finish over .500. Furthermore, this year, his ERA is below his career average. I'm not sure what you were expecting--he pitched 200 innings last year (Sheets hasn't done that since 2004) and he was the most consistent starter on the staff. I think that's worth the money.
Since my last post, the Brewers have continued to stink against crappy teams, so if the Cubs build/hold a 10+ game lead over us by the break like they should, I think we should sell at the break and build for next year. Since we aren't going to sign Ben Sheets, we should trade him for some young pitching/prospects. Gwynn should have been traded to the Padres months ago, they will overpay for him (if his last name was anything but Gwynn, he never would have made the major leagues).
As for the 8-6 loss that you mention, I believe Cordero blew that game in the 9th inning. Should we have signed him for 4 years, 45 million, or should we have taken the $10 million risk on Gagne?
4 comments:
No, because the division is playing much better than last year (and better thant it is supposed to this year from what the Sports Authorities were telling me) and they have just started to slow to really truly recover.
Yes, because they have way too much talent to be playing this badly. And we can always count on the Chicago Cubs for a full choke at the end of the year. Hopefully.
I think Ned Yost needs to give up this cool, calm and collected manager crap. Look at what just one managerial blow up does for a team: the Cubs last year after Piniella's blow up, and the White Sox this year after Ozzie Guillens blow up. Get at least some passion in the team.
I'd give them a 10% chance. It will only happen if at least 3/4 of the following occur:
-Prince Fielder wakes up and hits at least 30 more HR this year
-Rickie Weeks gets his OBP above .350
-JJ Hardy finishes with an OPS over .750
-Ben Sheets wins 15 games
-Eric Gagne returns and blows less than 5 more saves the rest of the way
-The Brewers that are actually doing well (Hart and Braun) continue to produce
-Parra, Bush, and Suppan all finish with an ERA of under 4.50
-Bill Hall hits 10 HR and 20 doubles to right field
Main point there: Eric Gagne. Worst. Pick up. Ever. Even if he somewhat redeems himself before the end of the year, $10 million? Are you serious?
With Gallardo out for the year (presumably at least, miracles could happen) they need to get in the market for a reliable starting pitcher ASAP.
As far as Suppan goes (who has also been a bust in my eyes), I think my cousins comments at a game last year that Suppan pitched until the 7th or 8th with a 6-1 lead (the Brewers lost 8-6 in extras) sums him up pretty well. There was a group of super cool kids all there together and one of the girls was looking pretty out of it. Glazed eyes. Standing there rocking back and forth. The hiccups. 6th inning: "Jesus, even Suppan is lasting longer than her."
Suppan was a good signing. From that free agent class, Lilly has outperformed him, but Zito has been horrible (who didn't see that coming). Furthermore, we also considered throwing $45 million at Jeff Weaver, who is now putting up horrible numbers for our AAA team after Seattle paid him $8 million last year.
Suppan was great down the stretch last year and was one of the key reasons that we managed to recover and finish over .500. Furthermore, this year, his ERA is below his career average. I'm not sure what you were expecting--he pitched 200 innings last year (Sheets hasn't done that since 2004) and he was the most consistent starter on the staff. I think that's worth the money.
Since my last post, the Brewers have continued to stink against crappy teams, so if the Cubs build/hold a 10+ game lead over us by the break like they should, I think we should sell at the break and build for next year. Since we aren't going to sign Ben Sheets, we should trade him for some young pitching/prospects. Gwynn should have been traded to the Padres months ago, they will overpay for him (if his last name was anything but Gwynn, he never would have made the major leagues).
As for the 8-6 loss that you mention, I believe Cordero blew that game in the 9th inning. Should we have signed him for 4 years, 45 million, or should we have taken the $10 million risk on Gagne?
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